Rate hikes must be aligned with economic recovery: Ashima Goyal

Noting that the Indian inflation trajectory differs from that of the United States (US), Reserve Bank of India (RBI) monetary policy committee (MPC) member Ashima Goyal stated that the central bank is not behind the curve in hiking interest rates to tackle rising inflation. According to her, rate hikes must be aligned with the economic recovery. To maintain a balance between growth and inflation, Goyal stressed that real interest rates should not be deviated too far from equilibrium levels and undue volatility in rates must be avoided. The long-term price pressures materialised in India only after the Russia-Ukraine war started on 24 February 2022. Inflation forecasts, to which the MPC responds, were very much within the tolerance band before that, Goyal said, adding that it is never wise to overreact to shocks when the economic recovery is shaky post the coronavirus pandemic while responding to a question on why RBI did not raise interest rate much earlier despite rising inflation.

References
1. https://www.financialexpress.com/economy/rbi-not-behind-the-curve-in-hiking-rate-never-wise-to-overreact-to-shocks-ashima-goyal/2525167/
2. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/india-inflation-is-rbi-behind-the-curve-mpc-member-ashima-goyal-answers/articleshow/91573394.cms
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate (30-DAY MVG. AVG.)
Per cent
8.0 +0.5
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
68.6 +0.3
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
67.6 0.0
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
70.1 +0.7
Quarterly CapEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Jun 21 Sep 21 Dec 21 Mar 22
New projects 2.94 3.26 3.53 5.91
Completed projects 0.71 1.28 2.76 1.18
Stalled projects 0.33 0.28 0.06 0.30
Revived projects 1.14 0.39 2.07 0.28
Implementation stalled projects 0.64 0.26 0.65 0.07
Updated on: 26 Jun 2022 3:28PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Jun 21 Sep 21 Dec 21 Mar 22
All listed Companies
 Income 42.3 27.5 23.4 21.6
 Expenses 41.8 26.7 21.3 20.5
 Net profit 140.6 55.3 35.4 32.8
 PAT margin (%) 8.9 9.6 9.0 9.1
 Count of Cos. 4,564 4,690 4,733 4,508
Non-financial Companies
 Income 61.1 35.7 29.1 25.9
 Expenses 62.4 36.0 28.8 26.6
 Net profit 195.2 59.5 19.0 12.9
 PAT margin (%) 8.4 8.8 7.5 7.9
 Net fixed assets 4.9 2.2
 Current assets 10.8 15.3
 Current liabilities 0.8 11.7
 Borrowings 12.1 3.7
 Reserves & surplus 12.4 11.5
 Count of Cos. 3,336 3,387 3,428 3,280
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 26 Jun 2022 3:28PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY20 FY21 FY22
All Companies
 Income 0.6 -1.1 13.6
 Expenses 0.4 -3.4 10.5
 Net profit -4.4 72.2 58.0
 PAT margin (%) 2.0 4.5 10.9
 Assets 9.0 9.7 9.3
 Net worth 4.8 11.7 9.9
 RONW (%) 3.4 6.9 13.5
 Count of Cos. 32,455 29,998 539
Non-financial Companies
 Income -1.2 -2.3 26.3
 Expenses -1.0 -4.4 25.6
 Net profit -20.8 63.5 42.2
 PAT margin (%) 2.2 4.2 13.8
 Net fixed assets 11.2 2.0 -1.9
 Net worth 2.2 10.7 11.2
 RONW (%) 4.7 8.0 22.6
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.2 1.0 0.3
 Interest cover (times) 1.9 2.5 10.3
 Net working capital cycle (days) 81 85 16
 Count of Cos. 25,743 23,675 386
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 20 Jun 2022 11:46AM