Tightening of liquidity conditions may trigger volatility in Indian equity markets: Nomura

Nomura has listed growth outlook beyond Covid-19 pandemic and tightening of liquidity conditions as two key macroeconomic factors that will lead to volatility in Indian equity markets in the year ahead. As per the agency, despite a strong recovery from the early impact of Covid-19, many economic indicators are still trending below the pre-pandemic growth path. Weak consumer sentiment and continued disruptions from the pandemic have adversely impacted the country’s growth rate. In its growth outlook report, Nomura further noted that the pandemic has accelerated the earnings recovery process due to market share gains by large players, lower operating costs and higher commodity prices. Over the next 12 months, it expects the market to focus on earnings growth beyond 2023-24. With an improvement in profitability playing out, growth beyond 2023-24 will depend increasingly on the broader economic growth.

References
1. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/markets-sensitivity-to-change-in-eco-growth-outlook-remains-high-nomura/articleshow/88845981.cms
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate (30-DAY MVG. AVG.)
Per cent
7.0 -0.7
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
59.9 +1.2
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
61.2 +1.0
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
57.9 +1.6
Quarterly CapEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Mar 21 Jun 21 Sep 21 Dec 21
New projects 2.36 2.74 2.25 2.51
Completed projects 1.17 0.74 1.18 1.53
Stalled projects 0.28 0.33 0.03 0.03
Revived projects 0.23 0.12 0.28 0.39
Implementation stalled projects 0.34 0.38 0.25 0.65
Updated on: 19 Jan 2022 8:28PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Mar 21 Jun 21 Sep 21 Dec 21
All listed Companies
 Income 15.1 39.2 27.9 17.0
 Expenses 7.4 38.6 27.3 18.0
 Net profit 337.8 142.5 52.7 12.8
 PAT margin (%) 8.8 9.0 9.6 19.4
 Count of Cos. 4,401 4,495 4,546 145
Non-financial Companies
 Income 17.8 56.1 36.1 18.9
 Expenses 10.7 57.1 36.6 22.3
 Net profit 222.4 199.3 59.5 4.9
 PAT margin (%) 9.0 8.5 8.8 17.7
 Net fixed assets 2.3 4.9
 Current assets 4.3 11.0
 Current liabilities 1.2 0.9
 Borrowings -4.5 12.2
 Reserves & surplus 11.7 12.4
 Count of Cos. 3,247 3,301 3,304 104
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 19 Jan 2022 8:28PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY19 FY20 FY21
All Companies
 Income 13.4 0.6 -1.5
 Expenses 13.8 0.4 -4.1
 Net profit 12.7 -6.9 62.0
 PAT margin (%) 2.0 2.1 5.7
 Assets 9.9 8.8 10.7
 Net worth 8.2 4.5 13.3
 RONW (%) 3.6 3.5 8.2
 Count of Cos. 32,530 31,471 11,634
Non-financial Companies
 Income 14.2 -1.2 -3.0
 Expenses 14.3 -0.9 -5.3
 Net profit 22.1 -21.1 49.3
 PAT margin (%) 2.8 2.3 5.3
 Net fixed assets 6.0 11.2 1.5
 Net worth 7.8 2.2 11.0
 RONW (%) 6.3 4.9 9.1
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.0 1.1 0.8
 Interest cover (times) 2.2 1.9 2.8
 Net working capital cycle (days) 74 81 80
 Count of Cos. 25,943 25,015 8,657
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 18 Jan 2022 2:48PM