Economic activity witnessed sharp deceleration last week: QuantEco

Amidst widening restrictions to curb spread of Omicron infections, QuantEco’s daily activity and recovery tracker (DART) index witnessed a steep decline of 9.1 per cent for the week ended 9 January 2022. With this, the DART index has now regressed to 105.3 as compared to 115.9 in previous week. As per QunatEco, this is the sharpest pace of contraction since April 2021. At a granular level, strong pullback was seen in traffic congestion, Apple mobility, railway passenger traffic and online restaurant searches.

QuantEco has retained its GDP growth forecast for 2021-22 at 9.6 per cent. However, it stated that they are closely monitoring Covid related developments as they unfold. For 2022-23, the agency has projected a GDP growth of 7.5 per cent driven by a combination of rollover of pent-up demand along with an uneven pick up in private capex in select sectors.

References
1. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/economic-activity-contracted-sharply-last-week/articleshow/88836685.cms
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate (30-DAY MVG. AVG.)
Per cent
7.0 -0.8
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
59.2 +0.3
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
60.6 +0.5
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
57.0 0.0
Quarterly CapEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Mar 21 Jun 21 Sep 21 Dec 21
New projects 2.36 2.74 2.25 2.51
Completed projects 1.17 0.74 1.18 1.53
Stalled projects 0.28 0.33 0.03 0.03
Revived projects 0.23 0.12 0.28 0.39
Implementation stalled projects 0.34 0.38 0.25 0.65
Updated on: 19 Jan 2022 8:28PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Mar 21 Jun 21 Sep 21 Dec 21
All listed Companies
 Income 15.1 39.2 27.9 17.0
 Expenses 7.4 38.6 27.3 18.0
 Net profit 337.8 142.5 52.7 12.8
 PAT margin (%) 8.8 9.0 9.6 19.4
 Count of Cos. 4,401 4,495 4,546 145
Non-financial Companies
 Income 17.8 56.1 36.1 18.9
 Expenses 10.7 57.1 36.6 22.3
 Net profit 222.4 199.3 59.5 4.9
 PAT margin (%) 9.0 8.5 8.8 17.7
 Net fixed assets 2.3 4.9
 Current assets 4.3 11.0
 Current liabilities 1.2 0.9
 Borrowings -4.5 12.2
 Reserves & surplus 11.7 12.4
 Count of Cos. 3,247 3,301 3,304 104
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 19 Jan 2022 8:28PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY19 FY20 FY21
All Companies
 Income 13.4 0.6 -1.5
 Expenses 13.8 0.4 -4.1
 Net profit 12.7 -6.9 62.0
 PAT margin (%) 2.0 2.1 5.7
 Assets 9.9 8.8 10.7
 Net worth 8.2 4.5 13.3
 RONW (%) 3.6 3.5 8.2
 Count of Cos. 32,530 31,471 11,634
Non-financial Companies
 Income 14.2 -1.2 -3.0
 Expenses 14.3 -0.9 -5.3
 Net profit 22.1 -21.1 49.3
 PAT margin (%) 2.8 2.3 5.3
 Net fixed assets 6.0 11.2 1.5
 Net worth 7.8 2.2 11.0
 RONW (%) 6.3 4.9 9.1
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.0 1.1 0.8
 Interest cover (times) 2.2 1.9 2.8
 Net working capital cycle (days) 74 81 80
 Count of Cos. 25,943 25,015 8,657
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 18 Jan 2022 2:48PM