Economic activity contracted by 12% during June 2021 qtr: UBS Securities India

by Nidhi Bhati

The UBS-India activity indicator suggests that economic activity during the June 2021 quarter contracted by an average of 12 per cent as compared to 23.9 per cent contraction recorded in the June 2020 quarter as a result of localised lockdowns. Unlike the V-shaped recovery in 2020, UBS Securities India’ s economist Tanvee Gupta Jain expects the economy to have only a gradual recovery this time, as consumer sentiment remains weak on pandemic-related uncertainties. Though the brokerage expects a sequential pick-up in economic activity from June, it believes that the economy may gain traction only from the second half of current fiscal.

References
1. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/indicators/indias-economy-likely-contracted-12-in-q1-report/articleshow/83600510.cms
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate (30-DAY MVG. AVG.)
Per cent
6.9 -1.9
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
52.1 0.0
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
54.8 0.0
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
48.0 0.0
Quarterly CapEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Sep 20 Dec 20 Mar 21 Jun 21
New projects 1.99 1.25 1.87 1.81
Completed projects 0.76 0.85 1.10 0.57
Stalled projects 0.06 0.31 0.14 0.16
Revived projects 0.25 0.15 0.21 0.12
Implementation stalled projects 0.09 0.15 0.30 0.27
Updated on: 28 Jul 2021 3:28PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Sep 20 Dec 20 Mar 21 Jun 21
All listed Companies
 Income -6.3 1.6 15.0 34.0
 Expenses -10.3 0.1 7.4 34.8
 Net profit 47.5 58.0 304.2 75.7
 PAT margin (%) 8.3 8.4 9.1 12.9
 Count of Cos. 4,419 4,433 4,211 382
Non-financial Companies
 Income -10.5 0.2 17.7 51.1
 Expenses -14.2 -0.7 10.6 56.0
 Net profit 31.7 54.4 218.4 81.9
 PAT margin (%) 8.1 8.8 9.3 13.0
 Net fixed assets 5.9 2.3
 Current assets 0.7 4.8
 Current liabilities -2.7 0.8
 Borrowings 8.3 -4.3
 Reserves & surplus 4.2 12.3
 Count of Cos. 3,278 3,293 3,143 289
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 28 Jul 2021 3:28PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY19 FY20 FY21
All Companies
 Income 13.4 0.0 2.8
 Expenses 13.8 -0.1 0.4
 Net profit 14.2 -7.3 33.8
 PAT margin (%) 2.1 2.1 9.5
 Assets 9.8 8.3 17.1
 Net worth 8.5 4.3 18.7
 RONW (%) 3.7 3.6 10.7
 Count of Cos. 31,492 30,180 1,463
Non-financial Companies
 Income 14.1 -1.9 -0.8
 Expenses 14.4 -1.7 -2.3
 Net profit 20.6 -18.4 15.0
 PAT margin (%) 2.9 2.4 10.9
 Net fixed assets 5.6 9.7 7.0
 Net worth 7.9 1.9 18.0
 RONW (%) 6.3 5.1 13.5
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.0 1.1 0.5
 Interest cover (times) 2.3 2.0 5.8
 Net working capital cycle (days) 73 80 32
 Count of Cos. 25,254 24,140 1,091
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 28 Jul 2021 4:45PM