RBI estimates economic output loss in 2021-22 at Rs.2 tln

Due to second Covid-19 wave

by Nidhi Bhati

In its June bulletin, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has stated that the Indian economy is likely to suffer an output loss of about Rs.2 trillion in 2021-22 as a result of the second wave of the coronavirus pandemic. The central bank made the estimate assuming that the impact of the second wave will be contained in the June 2021 quarter. It assessed that the renewed wave of infections and the regional lockdown, rather than a nationwide lockdown like last year, has mainly hit domestic demand hard. However, RBI believes that cautious optimism is returning supported by several other economic indicators such as better GST collections and steady exports. Going forward, speed and scale of vaccination against Covid-19 will shape the path of economic recovery, it added.

References
1. https://rbidocs.rbi.org.in/rdocs/Bulletin/PDFs/0BULLETINJUNE2021E400EB7F44C349599BC13755EC3111EF.PDF
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate (30-DAY MVG. AVG.)
Per cent
6.9 -1.9
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
52.1 0.0
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
54.8 0.0
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
48.0 0.0
Quarterly CapEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Sep 20 Dec 20 Mar 21 Jun 21
New projects 1.99 1.25 1.87 1.81
Completed projects 0.76 0.85 1.10 0.57
Stalled projects 0.06 0.31 0.14 0.16
Revived projects 0.25 0.15 0.21 0.12
Implementation stalled projects 0.09 0.15 0.30 0.27
Updated on: 28 Jul 2021 3:28PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Sep 20 Dec 20 Mar 21 Jun 21
All listed Companies
 Income -6.3 1.6 15.0 34.0
 Expenses -10.3 0.1 7.4 34.8
 Net profit 47.5 58.0 304.2 75.7
 PAT margin (%) 8.3 8.4 9.1 12.9
 Count of Cos. 4,419 4,433 4,211 382
Non-financial Companies
 Income -10.5 0.2 17.7 51.1
 Expenses -14.2 -0.7 10.6 56.0
 Net profit 31.7 54.4 218.4 81.9
 PAT margin (%) 8.1 8.8 9.3 13.0
 Net fixed assets 5.9 2.3
 Current assets 0.7 4.8
 Current liabilities -2.7 0.8
 Borrowings 8.3 -4.3
 Reserves & surplus 4.2 12.3
 Count of Cos. 3,278 3,293 3,143 289
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 28 Jul 2021 3:28PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY19 FY20 FY21
All Companies
 Income 13.4 0.0 2.8
 Expenses 13.8 -0.1 0.4
 Net profit 14.2 -7.3 33.8
 PAT margin (%) 2.1 2.1 9.5
 Assets 9.8 8.3 17.1
 Net worth 8.5 4.3 18.7
 RONW (%) 3.7 3.6 10.7
 Count of Cos. 31,492 30,180 1,463
Non-financial Companies
 Income 14.1 -1.9 -0.8
 Expenses 14.4 -1.7 -2.3
 Net profit 20.6 -18.4 15.0
 PAT margin (%) 2.9 2.4 10.9
 Net fixed assets 5.6 9.7 7.0
 Net worth 7.9 1.9 18.0
 RONW (%) 6.3 5.1 13.5
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.0 1.1 0.5
 Interest cover (times) 2.3 2.0 5.8
 Net working capital cycle (days) 73 80 32
 Count of Cos. 25,254 24,140 1,091
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 28 Jul 2021 4:45PM