CII pegs GDP growth at 7.3-7.7% in 2018-19

RBI rate hike to impact India Inc's capex

by Nidhi Bhati

The Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) president Rakesh Bharti Mittal has projected India’s economy to grow by 7.3-7.7 per cent in 2018-19 in spite of challenges in the global economy including hardening of interest rate regimes, volatility in oil prices, etc. Commenting on the recent rate hike by the RBI, Mittal said that the hike will increase cost of doing business and it will impact capital expenditure by the industry. However, normal monsoon and supply side measures will have a cooling effect on inflation and help restrict the rate hikes, he added. The CII president also flagged availability of credit as a worry, stating that smaller businesses which will get affected are the ones that need attention at present. Mittal further added that the CII was contemplating to set up an asset reconstruction institution or a bad bank, which would help clean up the banking system of the stressed assets and allow for unfettered credit flow.

References
1. https://www.financialexpress.com/industry/india-to-witness-growth-despite-challenges-cii-president/1203870/
2. https://www.business-standard.com/article/finance/monetary-policy-rbi-rate-hike-will-impact-india-inc-s-capex-says-cii-118061300008_1.html
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate
Per cent
6.2 -0.0
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
102.0 +0.6
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
101.2 +0.5
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
100.0 +0.5
Quarterly CapeEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Sep 17 Dec 17 Mar 18 Jun 18
New projects 1.31 1.51 3.41 2.32
Completed projects 1.26 1.16 1.57 0.91
Stalled projects 0.69 0.88 3.44 0.30
Revived projects 0.34 0.24 0.26 0.22
Implementation stalled projects 0.78 0.71 1.92 0.04
Updated on: 19 Aug 2018 8:20PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Sep 17 Dec 17 Mar 18 Jun 18
All listed Companies
 Income 7.9 12.0 9.7 16.3
 Expenses 9.0 13.0 16.2 19.4
 Net profit -18.0 -14.3 -80.1 3.7
 PAT margin (%) 5.5 4.8 1.2 5.5
 Count of Cos. 4,508 4,503 4,360 4,026
Non-financial Companies
 Income 8.2 13.3 11.1 18.5
 Expenses 8.2 12.4 11.7 20.3
 Net profit -6.0 13.2 1.8 33.5
 PAT margin (%) 6.2 6.4 6.6 7.2
 Net fixed assets 9.2 11.8
 Current assets 2.9 7.2
 Current liabilities 11.0 10.4
 Borrowings 3.4 1.9
 Reserves & surplus 7.9 7.2
 Count of Cos. 3,464 3,471 3,372 3,173
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 19 Aug 2018 8:20PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
All Companies
 Income 5.6 1.9 6.0 10.3
 Expenses 5.7 2.0 6.0 12.3
 Net profit 0.0 -9.7 25.0 -29.9
 PAT margin (%) 3.0 2.8 3.4 4.4
 Assets 9.5 10.2 7.6 13.2
 Net worth 8.5 11.3 7.9 12.8
 RONW (%) 5.8 4.9 5.8 6.8
 Count of Cos. 26,186 24,491 22,087 922
Non-financial Companies
 Income 4.9 1.1 5.8 9.7
 Expenses 5.1 0.5 6.1 8.6
 Net profit -9.4 19.9 19.8 6.0
 PAT margin (%) 2.0 2.4 2.9 7.7
 Net fixed assets 13.3 22.1 7.3 23.5
 Net worth 7.0 12.0 7.0 10.5
 RONW (%) 4.6 5.1 5.9 13.8
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.4
 Interest cover (times) 1.9 1.9 2.1 6.5
 Net working capital cycle (days) 66 65 62 28
 Count of Cos. 21,360 20,505 18,408 712
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 19 Aug 2018 12:26PM