Retail inflation to average around 5% till March 2018: Report by CARE Ratings

Rising crude oil prices pose an upward risk

by Janaki Samant

According to a report by CARE Ratings, rising international crude oil prices can push up retail inflation. The report states that retail inflation is expected to average around five per cent by March 2018. Besides rising crude oil prices, the adverese base effect is also expected to reflect in higher inflation. In addtion, other factors like fiscal deficit, MSP and customs duty hike are also expected to affect inflation, the report stated. It expects falling food prices to have a positive impact on inflation but rising prices of non-food items like clothing and footwear, housing, fuel and household goods can have an adverse impact on retail inflation.

References
1. http://www.financialexpress.com/economy/indias-retail-inflation-to-hover-around-5-for-rest-of-year-till-march-says-care-ratings/1063915/
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate
Per cent
5.7 +0.1
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
92.8 -0.4
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
91.9 -0.3
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
94.1 -0.5
Quarterly CapeEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17 Dec 17
New projects 4.07 2.13 1.22 1.08
Completed projects 1.96 0.86 1.05 0.92
Stalled projects 0.74 2.67 0.67 0.93
Revived projects 0.86 0.30 0.29 0.23
Implementation stalled projects 0.33 0.69 0.73 0.58
Updated on: 18 Feb 2018 12:20PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17 Dec 17
All listed Companies
 Income 10.2 9.7 7.9 12.1
 Expenses 11.9 10.0 9.0 12.9
 Net profit 16.4 -19.8 -16.8 -10.4
 PAT margin (%) 6.0 5.3 5.7 5.2
 Count of Cos. 4,469 4,454 4,426 3,985
Non-financial Companies
 Income 11.8 10.3 7.7 13.0
 Expenses 15.6 10.6 7.5 11.8
 Net profit -2.2 -25.2 -4.2 15.7
 PAT margin (%) 6.1 5.2 6.4 6.8
 Net fixed assets 6.9 9.2
 Current assets 2.7 78.8
 Current liabilities 8.9 11.0
 Borrowings 4.9 10.5
 Reserves & surplus 6.1 5.2
 Count of Cos. 3,453 3,439 3,408 3,095
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 18 Feb 2018 12:20PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
All Companies
 Income 10.0 5.4 1.4 6.7
 Expenses 9.9 5.5 1.6 7.1
 Net profit -2.5 0.9 -12.9 18.8
 PAT margin (%) 3.1 3.1 2.8 5.6
 Assets 12.3 9.5 9.8 8.4
 Net worth 9.6 8.6 10.8 7.5
 RONW (%) 6.1 6.0 5.0 8.2
 Count of Cos. 24,506 24,447 22,230 10,161
Non-financial Companies
 Income 9.7 4.6 0.5 6.6
 Expenses 9.4 4.7 -0.1 7.7
 Net profit -3.1 -6.9 12.6 11.7
 PAT margin (%) 2.2 2.1 2.5 5.2
 Net fixed assets 11.7 13.2 15.4 7.5
 Net worth 8.2 7.1 11.2 5.5
 RONW (%) 5.1 4.8 5.3 8.9
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.8
 Interest cover (times) 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.8
 Net working capital cycle (days) 69 67 66 52
 Count of Cos. 19,752 19,893 18,615 7,888
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 04 Feb 2018 9:54AM

Data added for HPI at Assessment prices and HPI at Market prices