India's growth rate to improve to 7.6% by 2019-20: HSBC

Forecasts RBI to keep repo rate on hold

by Nidhi Bhati

The GDP growth in India is expected to be around 6.5 per cent in 2017-18, seven per cent in 2018-19 and 7.6 per cent in 2019-20, respectively, as key sectors revive from disruptions related to the implementation of GST and demonetosation, according to a HSBC report. HSBC further expects inflation to average to 3.4 per cent over FY18 (ending the year in March at 4.3 per cent). It also expects the RBI to keep the repo rate on hold.

References
1. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/finance/gdp-growth-in-india-to-accelerate-over-coming-year-hsbc/articleshow/62335788.cms
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate
Per cent
4.8 +0.0
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
97.2 -0.2
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
96.5 0.0
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
98.2 -0.5
Quarterly CapeEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17 Dec 17
New projects 4.01 2.11 1.18 0.84
Completed projects 1.95 0.86 1.03 0.90
Stalled projects 0.74 2.67 0.67 0.92
Revived projects 0.86 0.30 0.29 0.20
Implementation stalled projects 0.33 0.69 0.73 0.58
Updated on: 23 Jan 2018 9:20AM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17 Dec 17
All listed Companies
 Income 10.2 9.7 7.9 10.7
 Expenses 11.9 10.0 9.2 10.3
 Net profit 16.1 -19.8 -20.0 16.1
 PAT margin (%) 6.0 5.3 5.4 14.2
 Count of Cos. 4,460 4,389 4,313 183
Non-financial Companies
 Income 11.8 10.3 7.7 10.6
 Expenses 15.6 10.6 7.8 10.5
 Net profit -2.3 -25.2 -7.9 15.0
 PAT margin (%) 6.2 5.2 6.1 14.4
 Net fixed assets 6.9 9.0
 Current assets 2.7 78.0
 Current liabilities 8.8 10.6
 Borrowings 4.9 10.1
 Reserves & surplus 6.3 4.8
 Count of Cos. 3,448 3,407 3,348 135
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 23 Jan 2018 9:21AM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
All Companies
 Income 10.0 5.3 1.4 6.6
 Expenses 9.9 5.4 1.5 7.1
 Net profit -2.5 1.6 -12.6 18.7
 PAT margin (%) 3.1 3.2 2.9 5.7
 Assets 12.3 9.4 9.8 8.3
 Net worth 9.6 8.7 10.8 7.2
 RONW (%) 6.1 6.1 5.1 8.3
 Count of Cos. 24,439 24,353 22,049 8,816
Non-financial Companies
 Income 9.7 4.5 0.5 6.4
 Expenses 9.4 4.6 -0.3 7.6
 Net profit -3.1 -5.5 12.5 11.8
 PAT margin (%) 2.2 2.1 2.6 5.3
 Net fixed assets 11.7 13.3 15.6 7.3
 Net worth 8.2 7.1 11.2 5.3
 RONW (%) 5.0 4.9 5.4 9.0
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.8
 Interest cover (times) 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.9
 Net working capital cycle (days) 69 67 65 52
 Count of Cos. 19,688 19,805 18,467 6,761
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 21 Jan 2018 12:27PM

Data added for HPI at Assessment prices and HPI at Market prices