Strong global demand to balance rising crude oil production: IEA

Forecasts demand to grow by 1.5 mbpd in 2017 and 1.4 mbpd in 2018

by Arjit Singh Bhambra

The International Energy Agency (IEA), has revised its demand growth forecast for the global energy market in 2017 to 1.5 million barrels per day (mbpd) from 1.4 mbpd earlier. The agency expects the global crude oil demand to increase further by 1.4 mbpd in 2018. It believes that the 1.2 mbpd cut in output by the OPEC nations and 0.6 mbpd by the non-OPEC countries till March 2018 will support oil prices in the international market. However, weak compliance by certain OPEC nations (Algeria, Iraq and the United Arab Emirates) to the production cut agreement, at lowest levels of 75 per cent since January 2017, along with rising non-OPEC nations output (expected to increase by 0.7 mbpd in 2017 and by 1.4 million bpd in 2018) remains a challenge.

References
1. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iea-oil-idUSKBN1AR0M5
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate
Per cent
4.5 -0.1
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
96.5 +0.2
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
95.7 0.0
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
97.8 +0.5
Quarterly CapeEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Dec 16 Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17
New projects 2.33 3.84 2.07 1.03
Completed projects 1.01 1.94 1.16 1.00
Stalled projects 1.14 0.73 2.67 0.67
Revived projects 0.18 0.67 0.30 0.29
Implementation stalled projects 0.83 0.33 0.68 0.62
Updated on: 16 Dec 2017 8:20PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Dec 16 Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17
All listed Companies
 Income 6.2 10.2 9.8 8.2
 Expenses 6.3 11.9 10.0 9.5
 Net profit 40.2 16.0 -19.6 -18.1
 PAT margin (%) 6.0 6.0 5.3 5.6
 Count of Cos. 4,509 4,444 4,325 4,177
Non-financial Companies
 Income 5.9 11.8 10.4 8.1
 Expenses 7.2 15.6 10.6 8.1
 Net profit 24.5 -2.3 -25.0 -5.4
 PAT margin (%) 6.2 6.2 5.2 6.4
 Net fixed assets 6.9 9.3
 Current assets 2.7 79.6
 Current liabilities 8.8 10.0
 Borrowings 4.8 10.6
 Reserves & surplus 6.3 5.3
 Count of Cos. 3,484 3,440 3,358 3,245
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 16 Dec 2017 8:20PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
All Companies
 Income 10.0 5.2 1.1 6.7
 Expenses 9.9 5.2 1.2 6.9
 Net profit -2.3 1.4 -13.1 20.6
 PAT margin (%) 3.2 3.2 2.9 6.4
 Assets 12.3 9.4 9.7 8.6
 Net worth 9.6 8.7 10.6 7.9
 RONW (%) 6.2 6.1 5.1 9.2
 Count of Cos. 24,045 23,818 20,791 4,756
Non-financial Companies
 Income 9.7 4.3 0.1 6.7
 Expenses 9.3 4.5 -0.6 7.5
 Net profit -2.7 -5.8 11.6 14.6
 PAT margin (%) 2.2 2.1 2.6 6.3
 Net fixed assets 11.6 13.3 15.5 7.3
 Net worth 8.1 7.1 11.0 6.3
 RONW (%) 5.1 4.9 5.4 10.3
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.7
 Interest cover (times) 2.0 1.9 2.0 3.4
 Net working capital cycle (days) 69 67 66 49
 Count of Cos. 19,288 19,270 17,281 3,624
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 04 Dec 2017 11:59AM

Data added for HPI at Assessment prices and HPI at Market prices