RBI likely to absorb USD 22 bln of dollar inflows

To use t-bills, repo and long-end sales to drain excess liquidity

by Natasha Nadkar

With foreign investments in debt and equity markets surging to USD 31 billion in 2017, the RBI is likely to mop up to USD 22 billion of dollar from the market. Bond traders and other debt market participants are of the view that the central bank will drain the resultant increase in liquidity through staggered sale of bills, along with daily reverse repo operations and some long-end sales. Traders believe that the RBI will have to drain USD 15.7-20 billion after taking into account factors such as festival-related consumer spending that naturally reduce cash in the system.

References
1. http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/policy/rbi-may-need-to-drain-up-to-22-billion-as-inflows-add-to-excess-liquidity/articleshow/59999314.cms
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate
Per cent
5.4 -0.0
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
95.6 0.0
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
95.7 -0.3
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
95.5 +0.5
Quarterly CapeEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Sep 17 Dec 17 Mar 18 Jun 18
New projects 1.25 1.49 3.60 2.27
Completed projects 1.25 1.15 1.42 0.82
Stalled projects 0.69 0.88 3.41 0.30
Revived projects 0.34 0.22 0.26 0.22
Implementation stalled projects 0.78 0.71 1.92 0.03
Updated on: 17 Jul 2018 8:20PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Sep 17 Dec 17 Mar 18 Jun 18
All listed Companies
 Income 7.9 12.0 10.2 18.1
 Expenses 9.0 13.0 17.0 21.4
 Net profit -18.0 -14.3 -81.9 8.4
 PAT margin (%) 5.5 4.8 1.2 17.4
 Count of Cos. 4,501 4,491 4,283 45
Non-financial Companies
 Income 8.2 13.3 11.8 18.5
 Expenses 8.1 12.3 12.7 22.7
 Net profit -6.1 13.2 -2.5 6.7
 PAT margin (%) 6.2 6.4 6.5 18.1
 Net fixed assets 9.2 11.9
 Current assets 2.9 8.0
 Current liabilities 11.0 10.3
 Borrowings 3.4 1.8
 Reserves & surplus 7.9 7.8
 Count of Cos. 3,460 3,463 3,315 32
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 17 Jul 2018 8:21PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
All Companies
 Income 5.6 1.8 5.8 12.3
 Expenses 5.7 1.9 5.8 17.9
 Net profit 0.1 -9.3 26.2 -51.0
 PAT margin (%) 3.0 2.8 3.5 3.6
 Assets 9.5 10.2 7.3 14.1
 Net worth 8.5 11.3 7.0 11.0
 RONW (%) 5.8 4.9 5.9 4.8
 Count of Cos. 26,056 24,316 21,815 218
Non-financial Companies
 Income 4.8 1.0 5.7 9.8
 Expenses 5.0 0.3 5.9 9.3
 Net profit -8.5 20.4 21.4 11.9
 PAT margin (%) 2.0 2.5 3.0 13.4
 Net fixed assets 13.3 17.4 6.5 21.2
 Net worth 7.0 12.0 5.7 5.3
 RONW (%) 4.6 5.2 6.1 17.7
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.2
 Interest cover (times) 1.9 1.9 2.1 16.0
 Net working capital cycle (days) 66 65 62 -12
 Count of Cos. 21,269 20,387 18,246 150
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 04 Jul 2018 4:50PM