50% of PSBs may breach at least one threshold under PCA framework: Fitch Ratings

High non-performing loans may result in breach

by Natasha Nadkar

According to Fitch Ratings, more than half of state-owned banks would breach at least one of the new thresholds specified by the RBI under its revised prompt corrective action (PCA) framework. High non-performing loans (NPLs) based on banks’ FY17 financial reports might result in such breach. Banks could be forced to conserve capital, increasing the risk of non-performance on bank capital instruments, as per Fitch. The rating agency also believes that weak banks could be identified as candidates for mergers by using the PCA framework. The RBI revised the Prompt Corrective Action (PCA) framework for banks on 13 April 2017 [see here].

References
1. http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/one-in-two-public-sector-banks-may-require-prompt-corrective-action-fitch/article9654308.ece
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate
Per cent
5.8 -0.0
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
92.6 +0.2
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
91.9 +0.3
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
93.7 0.0
Quarterly CapeEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17 Dec 17
New projects 4.06 2.14 1.22 1.12
Completed projects 1.96 0.86 1.05 0.92
Stalled projects 0.74 2.67 0.67 0.93
Revived projects 0.86 0.30 0.29 0.23
Implementation stalled projects 0.33 0.69 0.73 0.58
Updated on: 23 Feb 2018 9:20AM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17 Dec 17
All listed Companies
 Income 10.2 9.7 7.9 11.9
 Expenses 11.9 10.0 9.0 12.9
 Net profit 16.4 -19.7 -16.8 -12.3
 PAT margin (%) 6.0 5.3 5.7 5.0
 Count of Cos. 4,472 4,460 4,439 4,279
Non-financial Companies
 Income 11.8 10.3 7.7 12.7
 Expenses 15.6 10.6 7.5 11.8
 Net profit -2.2 -25.2 -4.2 13.3
 PAT margin (%) 6.1 5.2 6.4 6.6
 Net fixed assets 6.9 9.2
 Current assets 2.7 78.8
 Current liabilities 8.9 11.0
 Borrowings 4.9 10.5
 Reserves & surplus 6.1 5.2
 Count of Cos. 3,455 3,444 3,418 3,326
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 23 Feb 2018 9:20AM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
All Companies
 Income 10.0 5.4 1.5 6.8
 Expenses 9.9 5.5 1.7 7.1
 Net profit -2.5 0.3 -12.9 22.1
 PAT margin (%) 3.1 3.1 2.8 5.3
 Assets 12.3 9.5 10.1 8.3
 Net worth 9.7 8.5 11.7 7.4
 RONW (%) 6.1 5.9 4.9 7.9
 Count of Cos. 24,633 24,657 22,529 10,919
Non-financial Companies
 Income 9.7 4.6 0.6 6.7
 Expenses 9.4 4.8 0.0 7.6
 Net profit -3.1 -8.1 13.2 15.9
 PAT margin (%) 2.2 2.0 2.5 4.9
 Net fixed assets 11.7 13.3 17.4 7.2
 Net worth 8.3 6.9 12.4 5.4
 RONW (%) 5.0 4.7 5.1 8.5
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.8
 Interest cover (times) 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.7
 Net working capital cycle (days) 69 67 65 52
 Count of Cos. 19,858 20,066 18,861 8,566
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 21 Feb 2018 10:31AM

Data added for HPI at Assessment prices and HPI at Market prices