50% of PSBs may breach at least one threshold under PCA framework: Fitch Ratings

High non-performing loans may result in breach

by Natasha Nadkar

According to Fitch Ratings, more than half of state-owned banks would breach at least one of the new thresholds specified by the RBI under its revised prompt corrective action (PCA) framework. High non-performing loans (NPLs) based on banks’ FY17 financial reports might result in such breach. Banks could be forced to conserve capital, increasing the risk of non-performance on bank capital instruments, as per Fitch. The rating agency also believes that weak banks could be identified as candidates for mergers by using the PCA framework. The RBI revised the Prompt Corrective Action (PCA) framework for banks on 13 April 2017 [see here].

References
1. http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-and-banking/one-in-two-public-sector-banks-may-require-prompt-corrective-action-fitch/article9654308.ece
CMIE STATISTICS
Unemployment Rate
Per cent
5.0 -0.1
Consumer Sentiments Index
Base September-December 2015
96.0 0.0
Consumer Expectations Index
Base September-December 2015
94.5 0.0
Current Economic Conditions Index
Base September-December 2015
98.2 0.0
Quarterly CapeEx Aggregates
(Rs.trillion) Dec 16 Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17
New projects 2.33 3.81 2.07 1.02
Completed projects 1.01 1.94 1.14 0.99
Stalled projects 1.13 0.70 2.66 0.64
Revived projects 0.18 0.67 0.30 0.23
Implementation stalled projects 0.82 0.33 0.68 0.61
Updated on: 24 Nov 2017 8:20PM
Quarterly Financials of Listed Companies
(% change) Dec 16 Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17
All listed Companies
 Income 6.2 10.2 9.8 8.6
 Expenses 6.3 11.9 10.0 9.8
 Net profit 40.3 15.8 -19.7 -17.5
 PAT margin (%) 6.1 6.0 5.3 5.9
 Count of Cos. 4,507 4,438 4,292 2,833
Non-financial Companies
 Income 5.9 11.8 10.4 8.6
 Expenses 7.2 15.6 10.7 8.5
 Net profit 24.5 -2.5 -25.1 -4.6
 PAT margin (%) 6.2 6.2 5.2 6.8
 Net fixed assets 6.9 10.1
 Current assets 2.6 2.3
 Current liabilities 8.8 10.0
 Borrowings 4.8 4.0
 Reserves & surplus 6.3 8.2
 Count of Cos. 3,488 3,439 3,343 2,079
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 24 Nov 2017 8:30PM
Annual Financials of All Companies
(% change) FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
All Companies
 Income 10.0 5.2 1.1 6.6
 Expenses 9.9 5.2 1.2 6.8
 Net profit -2.2 1.6 -12.9 20.2
 PAT margin (%) 3.2 3.2 2.9 6.5
 Assets 12.3 9.4 9.6 8.8
 Net worth 9.6 8.7 10.3 8.5
 RONW (%) 6.2 6.1 5.1 9.6
 Count of Cos. 23,895 23,579 20,184 3,629
Non-financial Companies
 Income 9.7 4.3 0.1 6.5
 Expenses 9.3 4.5 -0.6 7.4
 Net profit -2.7 -5.5 11.5 14.3
 PAT margin (%) 2.2 2.1 2.6 6.5
 Net fixed assets 11.6 13.4 15.1 7.3
 Net worth 8.2 7.1 10.6 7.2
 RONW (%) 5.1 4.9 5.4 11.0
 Debt / Equity (times) 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.6
 Interest cover (times) 2.0 1.9 2.0 3.7
 Net working capital cycle (days) 69 67 66 50
 Count of Cos. 19,154 19,053 16,707 2,782
Numbers are net of P&E
Updated on: 15 Nov 2017 2:29PM

Data added for HPI at Assessment prices and HPI at Market prices